Subject to Change, version 2.0
Mostly found objects; at least until I find something I want to write about.


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Saturday, May 14, 2005
 

Irshad Manji: IRAQ: Bush's Positive Unintended Consequences

All the negativity that Americans are expressing about the Iraq war goes to show just how much democracy you still enjoy. Bush may have lied or sincerely believed somebody who told him lies. I don't know. What I do know is that he hasn't shut down your freedom of expression -- only given you another reason to exercise American ingenuity to come up with an alternate way of having public conversations. There's something to be said for the unintended consequences of Bush's policies. Including the positive unintended consequences.

Speaking of democracy, what do you make of this: Britain's Labour Party gets re-elected to a majority with only 36% of the vote. The Republicans take the White House again with just over 50% of the vote. Meanwhile, Abu Mazen's Palestinian Authority forms a government with a full 60% of the vote. Does this make the Palestinian government more legitimate than its American or British counterparts, or do such results validate the democratic credentials of Bush and Blair, who've been pushing for elections in the Middle East?

www.muslim-refusenik.com

- Irshad Manji [The Huffington Post | Full Blog Feed]
2:45:00 PM    

Larry Lindsey Wants to Boost National Savings.

Ex-Bush NEC head Larry Lindsey thinks that the administration's Social Security plans move in the wrong direction: Hearing Archives: Committee on Ways & Means :: U.S. House of Representatives: Statement of The Honorable Lawrence B. Lindsey, President and Chief Executive Officer, The Lindsey Group, Fairfax, Virginia Testimony Before the House Committee on Ways and Means May 12, 2005 Mr. Chairman, members of the Committee, I am honored to have been asked to testify today on the issue of Social Security reform. It is surprising that the issue of promoting national saving is not at the center of the current debate over Social Security reform, and that will be the focus of my comments today.... The first part of any credible Social Security reform plan is to permanently eliminate the actuarial deficit in the system.... There are a number of ways of closing this gap, but with different implications for national saving. For example, it would take a 28 percent increase in payroll taxes to make sure that the government collected all the money it needed to meet benefit promises over time.... The second way of bringing the system into balance is to change the formula for determining benefits now.... The...

 [Brad DeLong's Semi-Daily Journal]
2:43:41 PM    

Iraq Needs Regime Change, But Uzbekistan Doesn't?.

 Phidipides in a comment thread below got the jump on me regarding the brewing problem in Uzbekistan, where George W. Bush's iron-fisted friend Islam Karimov is allegedly battling (where have you heard this before) Islamic extremists and has killed several...
[The Left Coaster]
2:42:46 PM    

Point for Lula.

America decides to meddle in Brazil's HIV-prevention program. America demands Brazil sign oath condemning prostitutes. Brazil to America: "Go screw yourselves (safely)." In early May, Brazil declared its defiance of American diktats abroad. The country's national AIDS commissioner, HIV...

[Ezra Klein]
8:22:47 AM    

This Is How You Represent

Rep. John Conyers of Michigan is stepping out of the Greek chorus of doleful Dems to become a real leader. First he puts together a letter signed by 88 House members demanding that Bush respond to the questions raised by the release of the damning memo in the Sunday Times of London (the one that reveals Bush's intent to wage war in direct contradiction to his claims). Now Raw Story reveals...

- Riggsveda

[corrente]
8:20:42 AM    

Family photos.

 If his ex-wife is to be believed, Charles Graner sent home pictures of abuse at Abu Ghraib, and emails bragging to his teenage children about torturing people: He would send photos of "these beat-up prisoners and blood and talk about...

[Body and Soul]
6:15:00 AM    

Philistine v. Tyrant.

Bush called Kim Jong II twelve times during a recent news conference on April 28. While stressing the need for a diplomatic solution and trying to bring Pyongyang back to the 6-party talk, Bush insulted the North Koreans by calling their ‘Dear Leader’ a “tyrant” and a “dangerous person” .

Kim in response called Bush a half-baked man in terms of morality and a philistine whom nobody will ever deal with.

Bush said that he “loathed” the ‘Dear Leader’ because “he is starving his people” but he, at the same time, asked China to cut off its oil supplies to the North Korea. He wants to torture the North Koreans differently – freezing them to death instead of starving them to death.

Bush also said that the ‘Dear Leader’ was imprisoning his own people in ‘concentration camps’. For Bush, it is morally wrong to do this to your own people but it is perfectly legitimate if the people kept in the ‘concentration camps’ are NOT your own people, for instance, in Guantanamo Bay.

[China Doll]


6:04:51 AM    

"But Sex Goes to the Gut!"

Over the past year, a handful of evangelicals, Jim Wallis especially, have been trying to get their conservative brethren to stop obsessing about sex and start paying more attention to poverty and other societal ills. It's a nice idea, but Michelle Cottle did some asking around and figures, eh, white evangelicals probably aren't ever going to play along. Her entire essay's brilliant, but this is the crucial bit:

In modern U.S. politics... personal piety has proved the more compelling rallying cry for a variety of reasons--perhaps the most basic being that sex sells. "Sex always gets people's attention," says Marvin Olasky, godfather of compassionate conservatism and editor of the religious magazine World . Talk of sexual sin "goes to the gut," agrees conservative columnist Cal Thomas…. By contrast, issues like health care and homelessness, while arguably more pertinent to more people's lives, lack the same sizzle and, as such, are unlikely to capture the imagination of the grassroots, not to mention a drama-loving press.



As a bonus, says Thomas, opposing abortion and gay marriage generally has more to do with changing someone else's behavior than one's own. He points out that, as far as the decline of American culture goes, Christians are just as guilty as non-Christians when it comes to high divorce rates, out-of-wedlock sex, and rampant materialism. (Supporting data for this and similar trends can be found in Sider's book The Scandal of the Evangelical Conscience .) But addressing this embarrassing reality would involve too much self-scrutiny, says Thomas...



Similarly, issues like poverty and racial reconciliation don't lend themselves as neatly to the same good-versus-evil, us-versus-them political paradigm as gay rights or judicial activism, the right's latest bugaboo. Sociologist Tony Campolo... likes to quote from philosopher Eric Hoffer's 1951 book, True Believer : "Mass movements can rise and spread without belief in a god, but never without belief in a devil." Hitler had the Jews, and the communists had the capitalists, says Campolo. "I contend that it's easy to rally people around opposition to gay people. In the minds of many, they have become the devil that must be destroyed if America is to be saved."



The uncomplicated, emotionally driven nature of the right's message gives it a fund-raising edge over the non-right. "Big-time TV evangelists tell people, 'Send us your money so we can stop abortion, stop gay rights,'" snorts Thomas. "If they were to go on and talk about how Christians needed to fix what's wrong in their own house, they wouldn't raise a dime." Moreover, if evangelicals seriously began pushing for tougher environmental regulation or higher Social Security taxes, it would strain the base's comfy relationship with the wing of the GOP that cares less about social than economic policy but that has, over the years, proved amenable to helping finance the crusade for personal piety...



On a more spiritual plane, the non-right also has the theological tradition of American evangelicalism to contend with... As historian George Mardsen relates in Understanding Fundamentalism and Evangelicalism , the progressive politics of the Roosevelt era (Teddy, not Franklin) "fostered a new wave of social concern in the churches and new types of proposals for social reform." Increasingly, progressive-minded Christians began insisting that believers should focus less on saving people's souls for the next world and more on redressing social ills in this one, a message referred to as "the social gospel." More theologically conservative Christians grew increasingly upset at what they saw as an attempt to supplant the message of salvation through Jesus's divine grace with a message of salvation through good works. They, in turn, responded by championing personal redemption and individual holiness over what famed revivalist Billy Sunday denounced as "this godless social-service nonsense."



American evangelicalism's emphasis on free-will individualism, personal responsibility, and the paramount importance of one's personal walk with God predisposes many adherents to distrust government intervention in social problems like poverty. In researching their book, Divided by Faith: Evangelical Religion and the Problem of Race in America , Michael Emerson and Christian Smith found that evangelicals are more inclined than nonevangelicals to blame an individual's failure to thrive on personal shortcomings--say, a lack of ambition or character--rather than on any systemic disadvantages.
It's a harsh appraisal, and I certainly wish it wasn't true. But it's hard to argue against it.

- Brad

 [Bradford Plumer]
5:52:06 AM    

Bolton Sabotaged Bush Administration's Own Nuclear Nonproliferation Initiatives?.

Steve Clemons of The Washington Note has an outstanding UPI column re: Bolton. It deserves to be distributed widely.

The battle over John Bolton, President Bush's pick for U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, is not a competition between Senate Democrats and Republicans. It's actually a brewing civil war inside the Republican foreign-policy establishment. None of the dramatic events of the four public hearings to date on Bolton's nomination would have been possible without the active complicity of a large swath of the GOP establishment.

Nine senior U.S. government officials -- some, like Carl Ford, known to be heavyweight Republican politicos and lobbyists -- all nominated by a Republican President and confirmed by a Republican Congress collectively made the argument that John Bolton's record of service and behavior make him "unfit" for the U.N. post. And behind the scenes -- lurking unofficially but offering cryptic signs of their own discomfort with Bolton -- have been former Secretary of State Colin Powell and his deputy, Richard Armitage, and even Brent Scowcroft.

It provides an excellent summary of the scene to date.

At the Washington Note, however, Clemons also points out this Newsweek article by Michael Hirsh and Eve Conant outlining yet another foreign policy fiasco of Bolton's own making -- this one, quite current. The United States has largely ceded the conference agenda for the current Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty review because Bolton refused to prepare the planned Bush Administration position:

But if the NPT needed so much fixing under U.S. leadership, why was the United States so shockingly unprepared when the treaty came up for its five-year review at a major conference in New York this month, in the view of many delegates? And why has the United States been losing control of the conference's agenda this week to Iran and other countries -- a potentially serious setback to U.S. efforts to isolate Tehran?

Part of the answer, several sources close to the negotiations tell NEWSWEEK, lies with Bolton, the undersecretary of State for arms control. Since last fall Bolton, Bush's embattled nominee to be America's ambassador to the United Nations, has aggressively lobbied for a senior job in the second Bush administration. During that time, Bolton did almost no diplomatic groundwork for the NPT conference, these officials say.

"John was absent without leave" when it came to implementing the agenda that the president laid out in his February 2004 speech, a former senior Bush official declares flatly. Another former government official with experience in nonproliferation agrees. "Everyone knew the conference was coming and that it would be contentious. But Bolton stopped all diplomacy on this six months ago," this official said. "The White House and the National Security Council started worrying, wondering what was going on. So a few months ago the NSC had to step in and get things going themselves. The NPT regime is full of holes--it's very hard for the U.S. to meet our objectives--it takes diplomacy."

Clemons now reports it wasn't merely that Bolton was too preoccupied to prepare for the conference: he actively prevented other U.S. officials from doing groundwork of their own. According to Clemons' source: "Starting two years ago, other senior officials wanted to go around to various countries to work out common positions to take on revisions at the NPT conference, but Bolton wouldn't let them go."

Actively preventing U.S. officials from coordinating nonproliferation strategies with U.S. allies for two years, until finally the NSC had to intervene?

In the best case scenario: This Guy is Dangerously Incompetent.

And given the facts as we know them, yeah -- that's pretty much the best-case scenario. We're left to wonder what the other possible explanations might be.

[Daily Kos]


5:48:29 AM    


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